The Skakagrall

« SNP countdown poster 0 | Main | Political entertainment »

May 05, 2005

The Skakagrall's simplistic election guide 05

This may be absurdly simplistic, but focusing on the 80 most marginal Labour seats, and making some assumptions, I note:

2% anti-Labour swing = Labour lose 10 seats
4.5% anti-Labour swing = Labour lose 20 seats
6% anti-Labour swing = Labour lose 30 seats
8% anti-Labour swing= Labour lose 40 seats
9% anti-Labour swing= Labour lose 50 seats
10% anti-Labour swing = Labour lose 60 seats
11% anti-Labour swing = Labour lose 70 seats
12% anti-Labour swing = Labour lose 80 seats and their majority in the House of Commons

Posted by Simon Holledge at May 5, 2005 03:54 PM

Trackback Pings

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.skakagrall.com/cgi-bin/MT/mt-tb.cgi/418